Reliability Cost/Worth Analysis of Distribution System with Wind Generation as Alternate Supply using Monte Carlo Simulation [articol]

Abstract

A Monte Carlo simulation approach is used in this paper to evaluate the impact of intermittent wind generation on reliability evaluation of distribution system. Taking into account the fluctuating nature of wind speed, the random failures of generating units and recognized dependencies, wind speed model, wind turbine generator output model and load model are established. 2- partameter Weibull probability distribution is used to simulate hourly wind speeds values and the output of the wind farm. A specific Monte Carlo simulation procedure is described and a test system from the Roy Billinton Test System is used to illustrate the method.